1. Conflict Analysis Tools


Powerpoint presentation from Oliver Chevreau recorded also as video. The presentation goes through three basic conflict analysis tools as used by the NGO Responding to Conflict.

Macro Analysis

Making Sense of Turbulent Contexts

Micro Analysis

Do No Harm

  • CDA Do No Harm Training Manual. One of many DNH resources available on this site, these are the training manual and the training modules that give the basic structure to the DNH training in English, French and Spanish. Other materials available by following the link include training case studies, workbook and exercises, and the DNH checklist.

2. Country Level Conflict Analyses (available on demand)

  • DRC
    • English Summary, Full French
  • Kenya -
    • Conflict Analysis Desk Research Report 2009
    • 2012 analysis for conflict sensitivity report Embracing the Practice of CSA An analysis of the Kenyan Context.pdf
  • Uganda
    • Uganda Conflict Analysis
  • Sierra Leone
    • Karl Brabant analysis of country and CARE office response
  • Niger
    • Analysis in French of the Niger context.
  • South Sudan -
    • Conflict analysis report - September 2011.doc
  • Yemen
    • Conflict Assessment Field Study 2012

3. Other Conflict Analysis Documents and Tools

Document Title
Date Posted
Posted By
150 word maximum summary of document
EU Guidance Note on Conflict Analysis
Dec 2013
A guidance note that explains how the EEAS supports and uses conflict analysis. Reinforcing the importance of conflict sensitivity, the guide suggests two approaches. First, a light touch approach building on CARE's work in the Conflict Sensitivity Consortium, and second a more in depth political economy analysis, which shares some characteristics with the process CARE Pakistan has used.
East Africa Regional Conflict and Instability Assessment: USAID
March 2012
From March 2012 – comes USAID’s East Africa Conflict and Instability Assessment. Thanks to Joe Lumpkin for sharing. The research identifies two programming themes as significant dynamics in regional instability which can be addressed by USAID funding. They are:
  • Crime and violent extremism, and
  • Regional mineral resource conflict
Mirroring the 2011 World Development Report from the world bank, the report prioritises working with and strengthening the conflict management capacity of institutions at three levels: legitimate and committed civil society (local), subnational government authorities (district, county, provincial), and regional institutions. In particular the report notes the importance of local communities as critical sources of resilience in the face of mounting conflict pressures in the border areas of the region. As well as indicating USAID’s conflict priorities for the region, the report is a good example of a regional conflict analysis with a clear and concise summary of actors, drivers and dynamics.

Womankind Briefing on Gender Analysis and Conflict Analysis
This briefing paper shows why gender analysis and attention to women’s rights is vital in all conflict analysis, early warning systems and upstream prevention, both to protect and promote women’s rights, and to improve the overall analysis of, and response to, conflict. It aims to inform the debate at the HMG / BOND Conflict Policy Group workshop of 28th March 2012, and to provide practical suggestions for the inclusion of gender in the JACS guidelines.

Guidelines on Conflict Analysis for Project Planning and Management
Arthur Molenaar
Produced by GTZ. The Guidelines on Conflict Analysis for Project Planning and Management are aimed at anyone who is concerned with the assessment, preparation and implementation of development projects in (potential) conflict zones. The Guidelines can help project teams in a number of ways: Analyse the political and social conflicts; Understand the impacts of these conflicts on the local population and their ways of coming to terms with conflict; Develop strategies on how one can make a contribution to managing, lessening and overcoming the conflicts; Prepare conflict-related project applications or offers, or assess them for the way they deal with the conflict; Examine the strategy and implementation of the project in respect of the conflict situation and adapt these as necessary.

Situational Analysis for Program Design
A compendium of tools for conducting micro, meso and macro level analysis. The document comes in three parts, with the tools outlined in each of the annexes. Developed over three years, the compendium brings together the tools primarily used by the East and Central Africa region.
Situational Analysis Guidance Compendium
Appendix A_Macro Analysis
Appendix B_Meso Analysis
Appendix C_Micro Analysis
Analysis in CARE: Integrating into Programme Shift & Applying Conflict Sensitivity
Oliver Chevreau
A research document examing how participatory social analysis can better understand and be sensitive to conflict dynamics in the fragiles contexts in which CARE operates.

Conflict Analysis Tools
A series of tools for conflict analysis given to CARE South Sudan by a consultant in 2010. 5 Pages.
Conflict analysis tools March 2010.doc
Conflict Assessment and Intelligence Analysis
Heidi Ober
USIP has just released a new report where they suggest both a conflict analysis and intelligence analysis linked approach. (Intelligence analysis is designed to produce objective assessments for government national security decision makers through rigorous evaluation of “all source” data (including classified information) in a competitive environment.). The summary points are on their webpage as well as the full report. Their own comment on the report reads: To be effective, policymaking and programming in conflict situations must start with an accurate understanding of local context, conflict actors, causes, and the dynamic relationships among them. The report argues that complex conflict situations can be better understood by tapping the potential synergy between two distinct approaches to analyzing conflicts—conflict assessment and intelligence analysis. This report originates from the United States Institute of Peace’s Center for Conflict Management, which conducts research, identifies best practices, and develops new tools for conflict prevention, management, and resolution.
Link to Website

4. Training

United States Institute for Peace, offers online trainings in Conflict Analysis. The course goes through two case studies, those of Kosovo and Rwanda, and introduces participants to the basic terms and tools used in conflict analysis. In short, it is just a nice, simple course that can be done in your own time and online. The course is available in Arabic, Farsi, and Spanish. http://www.usip.org/training/online/

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